city v chelsea

Premier League

The big match in the Premier League this weekend is last seasons top two. Man City host Chelsea at the Etihad and it has the makings of an intriguing game.

Quite often Mourinho approaches this type of game away to a big side with a not lose approach, happy to get a draw as it means his main opponents haven't gained any ground on them. I wonder if that will remain the same here considering they dropped points on the opening day of the season against Swansea and this would leave them without a win after two games.

City were comfortable winners of their first game, 3-0 away to West Brom. The Baggies sat back and really played in City's hands but this will obviously be an altogether different test. I assume they will change their starting eleven as I don't think they will be able to get away with a midfield of Fernandinho, Toure and Silva against Chelsea as they would get overrun.

This is a good chance for Raheem Sterling to start to repay his massive price tag buy asserting himself on a game like this and he should have some joy against Ivanovic down the left hand side.

I think this game will be won and lost in midfield, and because of that I have a feeling that Chelsea will come out on top.  Get them at 10/1 with Coral. They will really want this win after last weekend and I feel City can be got at at the back. Mangala still looks really raw and the alternative is Demichelis who also doesn't inspire confidence. Costa completed 90 minutes last weekend so a combination and him and Eden Hazard will cause enough problems for Chelsea to win this match.

 

Man City at 8/1 or Chelsea at 10/1 

 

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Newbury

The Betfred Geoffrey Freer Stakes at 14:35 is a Group 3 over one mile and five furlongs. John Gosden's Romsdal is the 2/1 favourite on the back of a decent third in a Group 1 at Ascot.

At a much bigger price I like Richard Hannon's Windshear, He has won three times on ground that was good to soft and soft, which is what it is today, and I think this trip can bring out the best in him. He was third behind Dubday at Goodwood recently when he was never really put in the race and I am hoping he runs a lot closer to the pace this time around. If so, I think he has an excellent chance of at least making the frame and as long as eight runners stay in, he is great value at 9/1.

The Betfred Hungerford Stakes at 15:45 is the big race of the day and the one to side with in my option is last years winner Breton Rock. The rain has come at an excellent time for him and I think he will take all the beating here. He won a Group 2 under a penalty on soft ground last year and now unpenalised he can repeat the trick.

In an open looking race, David Simcock's Breton Rock looks excellent value at 11/2 and I think he is the stand out bet of the day.

 

Today's Selections

Man City v Cheslea - Chelsea win - 1 point at 29/10

Newbury 14:35 Windshear - 1 point each way @ 9/1

Newbury 15:45 Breton Rock - 1 point win at 11/2

 

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