15:50 Goodwood
This is a good looking handicap being run over the marathon distance of two miles, and it's a competitive looking race.
The Mark Johnston trained Mister Manduro is the only three-year-old in the race, and he is also the highest rated on a mark of 92. He hasn't made it into the winners enclosure for a while, however, he has been running in some quality races including when a respectable seventh place in the Queen's Vase (Group 2) at Royal Ascot in June. Being a three-year-old he will be receiving an extremely useful weight allowance and he looks to have every chance of running a big race.
Aurora Gray has been running really consistently this year, with two wins, two seconds and two third placed finished from her six runs so far this year. This has meant that she has taken quite a leap in the weights. She reverts back down to two miles here today, after racing over some extreme distances in her last few races, and I think this will help as all three of her career wins to date have come over two miles. Her trainer Hughie Morrison has a super record with runners over the longer distances, and jockey Jim Crowley has a nice record here at Goodwood over the last year.
Jacob Cats makes the step up to two miles for only the second in his career and it's an interesting move. He didn't really appear to see out the trip at his previous attempt at this distance and I think he will struggle to do so again here today, carrying what is a career high weight.
Arty Campbell is one that switches between codes and he has had a couple of third placed finishes on the flat recently, both over today's distance. David Probert takes the ride today which is an encouraging jockey booking, and he has ridden Arty Campbell to victory before. He races from the same mark as his two recent third places, and if he can stay up with the pace heading into the final half a mile he may well have a chance with his stamina coming into play.
Today's selection
Mister Manduro - 1 point @ 7/1